09 June 2022

Gameshow: The Ishka Crystal Ball

Edward Hansom
Chief Investment Officer,
Sirius Aviation Capital
Gerry Power
Chief Commercial Officer & Head of Origination,
Seraph Aviation group
Kieran O'Keefe
Chief Investment Officer,
ALAFCO Aviation Lease and Finance Co
Hal Calamvokis
Director, Aviation Finance,
Standard Chartered
Moderator
Chris Keene
Managing Director,
Ishka

Join our fearless contestants as they voyage into the unknown and gaze into the Ishka Crystal Ball...

Stream

Leaner and meaner: The outlook for Start-ups and Restructured Airlines

Conor McCarthy
CEO,
Emerald Airlines
Tim O'Connell
Partner,
Grant Thornton Ireland
Derek Paterson
VP - Sales, EMEA,
Aero Capital Solutions
Moderator
Patrick Edmond
Managing Director,
Altair Advisory
  • How have start-ups been able to position themselves as the pandemic subsides?
  • What lessor deals are available for airline start-ups today? How flexible are lessors for new entrants?
  • Have airline restructurings been successful? Is there a risk of a second restructuring on the horizon?  
Stream

Engine lessors: Transitioning to the next generation of asset

Dave Beary
Chief Risk and Investment Officer,
SES
Ed Colleran
Chief Risk Officer,
ELFC
Paolo Lironi
CEO,
SGI Aviation
Moderator
Denise Mangan-Fahy
General Manager SES,
AerCap Engines
  • How can the industry transition from portfolios of current gen engines?  
  • How are engine values being impacted?  
  • Will airlines say no to classic engines when opting for the NEO or MAX? 
  • What solutions to the green time engine issue have proven successful?  
  • Do engine lessors anticipate an MRO bottleneck?

Avoiding international trade issues for MROs

Carol Lynch
Partner,
BDO
      • What are the current import/export issues related to  aircraft, engines and parts that MROs and lessors need to be aware of now?
      • Identifying relevant export controls and sanctions in the current environment 
      • How can you determine if parts are subject to controls?
      • What is best practice in terms of carrying out due diligence?
      • Understanding the risks and penalties
    Stream

    Supplying the next generation of freighters

    Romain Chambard
    VP Marketing,
    Rolls-Royce
    Eamonn Cronin
    Chief Commercial Officer,
    Acumen
    Moderator
    Eamonn Forbes
    Chief Commercial Officer,
    Titan Aviation Leasing
    • Will demand for freighter conversion continue post-Covid? Will new conversion facilities affect the market dynamic?  
    • What are the advantages of full conversion vs partial conversion?  
    • Understanding freighter price volatility compared to passenger aircraft 
    • When will long haul load factors make sense for passenger belly freight return? What impact will this have on widebody freighter conversion? 
    • How long will older freighters stay in service? What are the retirement forecasts? 
    • Are retirement ages getting increasingly younger? 
    08 June 2022

    C-Suite vantage point: preparing for the next cycle

    Patrick Byrne
    CEO,
    CityJet
    Gonçalo Pires
    Chief Financial Officer,
    TAP Air Portugal
    Chris Buckley
    Partner, Aviation Chief Commercial Officer,
    Castlelake
    Teresa Gonçalves
    Aviation C-Level Executive,
    Sata Azores Airlines
    Moderator
    Joe O'Mara
    Tax Partner,
    KPMG
    • Is the insurance market now dictating what new deals are being done? To what extent are policy renewals affecting aviation finance?
    • How have passenger preferences changed? What transformations are needed for airlines to thrive? 
    • Are we entering an era of lessor dominance?
    • Discussing new growth markets and opportunities
    • Are there any warning signs for what could trigger the next downturn? What strategies can lessors and airlines adopt to remain resilient to this? 

    Rethinking appraisals: adapting to new market realities

    Olga Razzhivina
    Director & Senior ISTAT Appraiser,
    Oriel
    Derek Wong
    Head of Aviation Debt Funds,
    Investec
    Máximo Gainza
    VP Market Strategy,
    AerFin
    Moderator
    Eddy Pieniazek
    Principal Advisor,
    Ishka
    • Base Values and Market Values – are these terms doing their job in today’s market with so many encumbered aircraft? Should investors and financiers be modifying their approach and data requirements?
    • How many appraiser opinions should investors realistically canvas?
    • Understanding the gulf in appraisals on current gen widebodies.
    • What is the actual economic life of aircraft now? Have ESG concerns eroded this lifespan? How do appraisers account for this?
    • Bubble or boom: How do appraisers view the growth in cargo aircraft conversions and orders?

    Roundtable networking

    Paolo Lironi
    CEO,
    SGI Aviation
    Simon Clements
    Executive Vice President,
    Novus
    Martin Corcoran
    ,
    Acumen
    Leah Davidson
    Director,
    Grant Thornton
    eva karagianni
    Aviation advisory,
    Ishka

    The unique Ishka only format will facilitate networking and enable you to make new connections.

    Ask a trader: are industry headwinds hampering buyer appetite?

    Sarah Conway
    Head of Lessor Origination, Pricing & Structuring,
    Deucalion Aviation Limited
    Mamoun Kuzbari
    CCO,
    Novus Aviation Capital
    Paraic Quinn
    Head of Trading and Capital Markets,
    Avolon
    Robert Downes
    Head of Trading,
    Aviation Capital Group
    Moderator
    Aisling McCarthy
    MD,
    Avionix
    • Who are the most active buyers in the secondary market? Are new investors entering the space?
    • Are rising interest rates impacting buyer appetite?
    • How is the NEO/CEO transition impacting the secondary market?
    • What connection is there to the volume of aircraft on the market and where do you see that going?

    The cost of financing aircraft

    Leslie Kurshan
    Managing Director,
    Marsh
    Ulrike Ziegler
    President,
    impact
    Sneha Kedia
    Director | Transportation - Structured Finance Group,
    Deutsche Bank
    Christophe Bernardini
    SVP Marketing,
    PK AirFinance
    • How are aircraft and engines being financed? Who is providing the debt currently? 
    • Will aviation banks have less capital to deploy as result of Covid, ESG and Basel IV? How does the 'impact' initiative affect this?
    • Where do alternative lenders fit into this picture? 
    • Can a competitive dynamic between alternative lenders drive margins down?  
    • Will quantifiably green financing be cheaper? Will that meet return thresholds for banks? 
    • How has the cost of financing older assets been affected? 
    Main Stage

    Investor appetite: view from the Capital Markets

    Cian Dooley
    Executive Director,
    Airborne Capital
    Lourens Geldenhuys
    Chief Financial Officer,
    Stratos
    Paul Cassidy
    Director, Capital Markets,
    SKY Leasing
    • How does aviation compare on a risk return basis to other sectors? What else is appealing to investors?
    • Will the ABS market rebound to record issuances levels of 2021? Will freighters feature more heavily in future ABS structures?  
    • When will equity be back? How do private equity players view the aviation asset class?
    • How risky are investors viewing enotes? What can the industry do to make itself more attractive to equity investors?
    Airline Leasing Masterclass

    Mastering the spectrum of leasing options

    Understand the array of leasing options available and their advantages and challenges.

    • What deals are being done today? What are the trends? Are there new structures at work? The realities of step-up leases and ratchet rates.

     

    Please note: this is a seperately bookable event, running alongside our main agenda.

    Main Stage

    Long haul travel outlook

    Gee Lefevre
    Managing Director,
    Teneo
    • Global capacity long haul update for 2022 so far.
    • How is demand and load factors? Has this met expectations?
    • When is this forecast to recover to 2019 levels?
    Airline Leasing Masterclass

    What can you realistically negotiate today as an airline?

    Michael Homer
    VP Marketing,
    ALAFCO
    Liam Gleeson
    Director,
    Grant Thornton
    Moderator
    Kieran O'Keefe
    Chief Investment Officer,
    ALAFCO Aviation Lease and Finance Co
    • Hypothetical Case study
    • Four common negotiations between airlines and lessors when discussing new leases.

     

    Please note: this is a seperately bookable event, running alongside our main agenda.

    Main Stage

    Risk and reward: Accessing aviation's next growth markets

    Michael Dowling
    Chief Risk Officer,
    DAE
    Brian Rainey
    Senior Manager Risk,
    Elix Aviation
    Nitin Sarin
    Managing Partner,
    Sarin & Co.
    Hal Calamvokis
    Director, Aviation Finance,
    Standard Chartered

    • What are the key growth markets for aviation going into the next cycle?
    • Where are investors deploying capital? How is jurisdictional risk now being approached?
    • How has aircraft leasing developed in India over the past 10 years? Who are the key players?
    • What are the key risks for lessors working in India? How can these be mitigated?

    Main Stage

    Department of Finance Keynote

    Seán Fleming
    Minister of State,
    Department of Finance
    Main Stage

    More to come? Restructuring lessons for airlines, lessors and lenders

    David Gard
    Senior Managing Director,
    Teneo
    Damien Murran
    Senior Managing Director,
    Teneo
    • How can an airline utilise a formal restructuring process to reduce their lease rates and how can lessors defend themselves?
    • What is the typical process and timeline of a restructuring process? How does Examinership/Ch11/UK RP differ?
    • What are the key lessons for aircraft lessors and financiers from restructurings to date?
    • What do we expect to see in the restructuring market in 2022 & 2023?
    Airline Leasing Masterclass

    Understanding the price tag: Valuations and market lease rates

    Eddy Pieniazek
    Principal Advisor,
    Ishka
    • Examining aircraft values and residual values. What does this mean for LTVs and lease rates?
    • How can airlines and lessors use appraisals to negotiate win/win lease terms? What negative impacts can appraisal shopping have on your lease?
    • How do lessors use appraisals? What drives market dynamics and lease rates?
    • How volatile can appraisals be? Is there much volitility among appraisers?

    Please note: this is a seperately bookable event, running alongside our main agenda.

    Main Stage

    Out with the old? Remarketing and midlife residual values

    Angus Clarke
    Chief Executive Officer,
    Blue Peak Aviation
    Moderator
    Pieter Burger
    Tax Partner,
    Deloitte Ireland
    • What is the current demand for midlife aircraft? How is this affecting lease rate factors? Is there a 'glut' of certain aircraft types?
    • Has Covid accelerated the negative impact on residual value of CEOs and NGs? Could SAFs prolong the life span of current midlife aircraft?
    • Is pricing more aggressive than six months ago as more aircraft return to the market? How easily are aircraft being remarketed? 
    • What is the threshold for aircraft owners to opt for repossession?
    Airline Leasing Masterclass

    Avoiding lessor and airline friction points

    Myles Mullaly
    SVP Technical,
    CDB Aviation
    Eamonn Cronin
    Chief Commercial Officer,
    Acumen
    • The million-dollar* return condition checklist
    • How to accurately anticipate the cost and time required
    • Agreeing on the right conditions for redelivery in the contract
    • Negotiating acceptable configurations for returning

    Please note: this is a seperately bookable event, running alongside our main agenda.

    Main Stage

    Imperatives for cyber resiliant aircraft leasing in 2022

    Ophir Zilbiger
    Global Cybersecurity Leader,
    BDO
    • Understanding the global 2022 cyber threat landscape
    • What is the potential business impact from cyber threats in aviation and aircraft leasing?
    • Stopping the threat: Identifying the fundamental capabilities of a cyber-resilient organization
    • Balancing between accepted risk and resilience investments
    Airline Leasing Masterclass

    'Win the deal' - group project

     

    Please note: this is a seperately bookable event, running alongside our main agenda.

    🏆 Deal of the Year Awards 🏆

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